Financial Future

Closing years late, billionaire Warren Buffett told his view of the economy in the future. From the predictions, there are eight points about the economic crisis that still haunt the country in various parts of the world.

Market participants assess this prediction is called the projection that is not bound by time. The reason Buffett gives general and comprehensive.

The following eight Warren Buffett’s view, as quoted CNBC.com, Tuesday (1/12/2009);

1. Forever recession is unavoidable. As the crisis that occurred in 2007. Buffett said that if the unemployment will increase significantly, and the U.S. economy fell into recession in 2008. According to Buffett, the shock is the capitalist cycle.

2. Any company or country will survive the recession and the future will be like they’ve survived past problems. “We have a wonderful economy. There never was anything like that in world history. We live seven times better than a century ago. We’ve got a problem all along. If you saw the last century, we have the Big Depression, World War II, the dam has the atomic bomb. But many countries are capable of running well, “he said.

3. Recessions will create opportunities. “I feel much better in my lifetime in 1974. And it is a very pessimistic and the oil shocks and stagflation, and all similar matters. But cheap stock prices.”

4. All shares will not be cheap. Market participants waited for the movement of the stock at the right time and right price.

5. Economic chaos will bear fruit mistake. Buffett cites this advice from his mentor Benjamin Graham: “You’re not right or wrong because others agree with you. You are right because the facts are correct and your reasoning correctly. And that’s the only thing that makes you right. And if the fact – facts and your reasoning is correct, you do not have to worry about other people. ”

6. Investors will mistakenly think falling stock prices is a bad thing. “If they lower the price of hamburgers at McDonald’s today, I feel great. Now I do not go back and think, gee, I paid a little more yesterday. I think I’ll buy it cheaper today. Whatever you do will come back to buy at times front, you want to have to be cheaper. ”

7. In a good situation sometimes often bad decisions. In 2000 Buffett letter to Berkshire shareholders, he compares the many market participants who buy when prices are high. “They know that overstaying the celebration (ie, continue to speculate) in the giant companies that have valuations relative to their cash, tend to produce in the future.

8. There will be more parties with wild stocks. “The world went mad. What we learn from history is that people do not learn from history,” added Buffett.

Dubai Government insists, if not responsible for the debt and the chaos that occurs in Dubai World.

This statement was made following the assumption of debt creditors that the failure of Dubai Wold will receive a guarantee from the United Arab Emirates.

“The lender must share the responsibility for their decisions to lend funds to the company,” said Director General of Dubai Department of Finance Abdulrahman Al-Saleh, was quoted as saying by Reuters on Tuesday (1/12/2009). “They think that Dubai World is part of the government, it is not true,” he added.

In the first statement since the crisis began, Dubai World said, the Dubai government holding company controls it. Any debt restructuring will cost $ 26 billion and mainly affects the property companies, Nakheel and others. However, other companies, such as DP Wolrd, Jebel Ali Free Zone and Istithmar World, will not be included in the restructuring, because they are considered financially stable.

As reported, state-owned Government of Dubai, Dubai World, proposed a debt payment delays resulting shock waves in the global market. The price of shares in Europe and Asia fell, while the United States market (the U.S.) are protected because the closed Thanksgiving Day holiday.

Dubai’s debt crisis has the potential resolved. Abu Dhabi, the neighboring emirates of Dubai in United Arab Emirates federation, is ready to help the debt crisis experienced by Dubai. Only, Abu Dhabi richer states have oil reserves will cover all the debts of Dubai worth USD59 billion.

Commodity prices were to be dropped, including the weakening of oil prices up to five percent. Abu Dhabi become the foundation to help Dubai. Abu Dhabi control 90 percent of oil reserves in the United Arab Emirates, the country’s third largest oil exporter in the world. Abu Dhabi has a sovereign wealth funds (SWF) in the world with a wealth of USD700 billion.

With the number of Abu Dhabi could easily help the difficulties in the field of Dubai property. Constitutionally, each Emirate United Arab Emirates is a separate legal entity, but joined in the federation. Each Emirate has their own control over natural resources and finance. The federal government has no right to access resources or to guarantee the obligations of each Emirate. Trusted, Abu Dhabi would not be willing to cover all debts of Dubai. Abu Dhabi will sort out and will not help that Dubai company take its business model affected the global economic crisis.

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Largest SME bank in the United States, CIT Group finally register on Sunday for bankruptcy protection (1/11/2009). Bankruptcy bank that has received U.S. government bailout fund of U.S. $ 2.33 billion has now become one of the largest in the United States.

CIT was founded in 1908 and made history as one of the banks to the largest segment of SMEs in the U.S.. As the crisis, CIT Group did not escape the shock.

CIT hopes its status as a creditor SME sector could win political support after struggling early this year. But in July, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp refuses to be a guarantor of debt issuance CIT. The Company also had to struggle to find their own funding.

A group of bondholders CIT eventually provide loans of U.S. $ 3 billion in July. The shareholders also agreed to exchange old bonds for U.S. $ 1 billion in new debt.

These measures do give time for the CIT to breathe, though still has not secured debt and maturing in November for U.S. $ 800 million. And more than U.S. $ 3 billion in unsecured debt maturing in late March.

Last week, CIT successfully secured additional funding of U.S. $ 4.5 billion from investors that will help them through the bankruptcy process. Icahn on Friday and have also agreed to provide credit facility of U.S. $ 1 billion.

CIT eventually enroll Chapter 11 protection in Manhattan court for expediting the process of restructuring its debts. Banks that have 101-year-old was reported total assets of U.S. $ 71 billion with liabilities of U.S. $ 65 billion, which was recorded as one of the largest bankruptcy record.

Here’s a list of 20 largest U.S. bankruptcy following its asset value since 1980, who quoted from the AFP, Monday (2/11/2009).

1. Lehman Brother (banks), 15 September 2008, U.S. $ 691 billion
2. Washington Mutual (the bank), 26 September 2008, U.S. $ 327.9 billion.
3. WorldCom (telecommunications), July 21, 2008, U.S. $ 103.9 billion.
4. General Motors (automotive), June 1, 2009, U.S. $ 91 billion.
5. CIT (bank loans), 1 November 2009, U.S. $ 71 billion.
6. Enron (energy trading), December 2, 2001, U.S. $ 65.5 billion.
7. Conseco (insurance), December 17, 2002, U.S. $ 61.4 billion.
8. Chrysler (automotive), April 30, 2009, U.S. $ 39.3 billion.
9. Pacific Gas and Elctric (utility), 6 April 2001, U.S. $ 36.1 billion
10. Texaco (oil), 21 April 1987, U.S. $ 34.9 billion.
11. Financial Corporation of America (the bank), 9 Seotember 1988, U.S. $ 33.8 billion.
12. Refco (trade), October 17, 2005, U.S. $ 33.3 billion.
13. IndyMac (bank), July 31, 2008, U.S. $ 32.7 billion.
14. Global Crossing (telecommunications), January 28, 2002, U.S. $ 30.1 billion.
15. The Bank of New England (bank), January 7, 1991, U.S. $ 29.7 billion.
16. Lyondell (chemistry), January 6, 2009, U.S. $ 27.4 billion.
17. Calpone (electric company), December 20, 2005, U.S. $ 27.2 billion.
18. New Century Financial Corporatuon (trade), 2 April 2007, U.S. $ 26.1 billion.
19. United Airlines (airline), December 9, 2002, U.S. $ 25.2 billion.
20. Colonial Bank (bank), August 14, 2009, U.S. $ 25 billion.

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