Financial Future

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The world has repeatedly experienced the crisis. From the beginning only regional to global. Asia, for example, has experienced a crisis in 1997-1998.

This crisis originated from Thailand which although not spread far from East Asia and Southeast Asia. Recovery of the crisis occurred in 1999 and then we saw economic conditions in East and Southeast Asia continue to improve. However, in 2008 the world was a global crisis that started from developed countries are the United States. The whole world felt the impact. East Asian crisis and Southeast Asia in the 1997-1998 financial crisis began with the then spread to the economic crisis. For most of Asia, this economic crisis also spread to the social and political crisis. While the global crisis also began with 2008-2009 financial crisis, followed by the economic crisis. Fortunately, there is no social and political impact of the means.

Now many are saying that the global crisis was over. National income has increased again. However, often said that the new restoration feels for the financial sector. While the economic sector recovery was more sluggish. Even the social impact of the crisis is still felt to this day. In a recent UNDP report (The Global Financial Crisis and the Asia-Pacific Region, 2009) argued that social recovery is usually slower than the economic recovery. Even the social impacts such as low nutrient in children can last forever.

Meanwhile, many people who still worry about this economic recovery. The world’s financial system was the cause of all crises are the same as before the crisis. Financial sector is always growing fast, much faster than production sector growth. Though the financial sector is needed to help the growth of the production sector. Financial sectors like oil for motor vehicles can run well. When the oil is too much, any vehicle will stagger and perhaps even strike. That’s what happens when the financial sector drove rapidly, leaving growth in the production sector. This has repeatedly occurred.

Financial sector growth is remarkable, which is also reflected by the growth of national income, eventually followed by the financial crisis. Even worse, the dynamics of the financial sector is often very dependent on “gossip” among investors in the financial sector. When these investors lose confidence, they trooped to sell their securities. Financial sector to fall and consequently create more confidence in the fall. Bank may fall so that the economy hit resin.

When the confidence of investors to recover, the financial sector also recovered. However, do not automatically recover the production sector. Restoring production sector requires a longer time than just building confidence of investors. Unfortunately, until now we have not managed to regulate the sector controlled by the “rumors” these investors. Would our economy and social sector we are constantly influenced by the gossip these investors? If the rumors they make a mess the financial sector, economic sector apart, and social sectors affected by the old.

If the gossip they improved, improved financial sector, investors again triumphed. However, the sector followed with a slow economy, and social sectors will be followed by much slower again. Without a fundamental change in world financial structure, the same pattern will continue over and over. Financial sector grew rapidly, then the crisis, and recovery occurs. Then the financial sector grew rapidly again, and again the crisis. And so on. With the financial integration and a stronger economy, a crisis will occur even more widespread and profound. The distance from one crisis to another crisis would be shorter.

Financial and economic crisis is feared finally brings social and political crisis. Currently in some countries the property sector has provided heat symptoms. People raced to speculate in the property sector. Inflation in some countries began to worry about a new danger. This all danger signals. The crisis will happen again soon? Volume II global crisis? And, suddenly, last Wednesday (November 25, 2009), Dubai World, a Dubai government owned conglomerate, announced the postponement of payment of their debts.

This indicates this conglomeration of financial difficulties. Suddenly this news makes investors panicked. They raced to sell their securities. Meanwhile, because the date 27 days holiday (Idul Adha), followed by week-end, financial markets are closed and not much information obtained from Dubai. On Sunday (November 29) United Arab Emirates government to try to calm investors by saying that they would help the liquidity of the financial sector in Dubai. This week is the week that counts. We’ll see whether this crisis will remain Dubai in Dubai alone, or be extended to Asia, Europe, and the whole world.

Is this going to be a global crisis of volume II? Hopefully, this crisis can be detained Dubai in Dubai and did not spread everywhere. Whatever the outcome, it seems we should have immediately made the financial arrangements of the new world, which does not rely on gossip investors. We should not have to rush immediately to integrate our financial sector to the world’s financial sectors. We can give an example to regulate the financial sector so as not to grow leaves production sector growth. Financial sector needs to be returned to the original function of helping the growth of the production sector.

Do the financial sector into a separate profit center, regardless of the production sector, as long as this happens, and always produces a crisis. In addition, to guard against the possibility of a global crisis of volume II, either because of crisis Dubai or any other crisis, we need to further consider the domestic economy. Integration of the domestic economy became far more important than any regional integration or global integration. With the dependence on market and major factor in the country, we can reduce the impact of the global crisis on our global economic and social sectors. This Crisis clearly shows that we benefit in two ways.

First, the financial sector, we have not really integrated into the world financial sector. Second, the contribution of our exports is still low.

Closing years late, billionaire Warren Buffett told his view of the economy in the future. From the predictions, there are eight points about the economic crisis that still haunt the country in various parts of the world.

Market participants assess this prediction is called the projection that is not bound by time. The reason Buffett gives general and comprehensive.

The following eight Warren Buffett’s view, as quoted CNBC.com, Tuesday (1/12/2009);

1. Forever recession is unavoidable. As the crisis that occurred in 2007. Buffett said that if the unemployment will increase significantly, and the U.S. economy fell into recession in 2008. According to Buffett, the shock is the capitalist cycle.

2. Any company or country will survive the recession and the future will be like they’ve survived past problems. “We have a wonderful economy. There never was anything like that in world history. We live seven times better than a century ago. We’ve got a problem all along. If you saw the last century, we have the Big Depression, World War II, the dam has the atomic bomb. But many countries are capable of running well, “he said.

3. Recessions will create opportunities. “I feel much better in my lifetime in 1974. And it is a very pessimistic and the oil shocks and stagflation, and all similar matters. But cheap stock prices.”

4. All shares will not be cheap. Market participants waited for the movement of the stock at the right time and right price.

5. Economic chaos will bear fruit mistake. Buffett cites this advice from his mentor Benjamin Graham: “You’re not right or wrong because others agree with you. You are right because the facts are correct and your reasoning correctly. And that’s the only thing that makes you right. And if the fact – facts and your reasoning is correct, you do not have to worry about other people. ”

6. Investors will mistakenly think falling stock prices is a bad thing. “If they lower the price of hamburgers at McDonald’s today, I feel great. Now I do not go back and think, gee, I paid a little more yesterday. I think I’ll buy it cheaper today. Whatever you do will come back to buy at times front, you want to have to be cheaper. ”

7. In a good situation sometimes often bad decisions. In 2000 Buffett letter to Berkshire shareholders, he compares the many market participants who buy when prices are high. “They know that overstaying the celebration (ie, continue to speculate) in the giant companies that have valuations relative to their cash, tend to produce in the future.

8. There will be more parties with wild stocks. “The world went mad. What we learn from history is that people do not learn from history,” added Buffett.

Although only 35 feet wide per side only, but the selling price of homes in the West Village, New York, it’s not like the form of small buildings and narrow, the house is sold at a price of Rp 27.9 billion.

As quoted from wcbstv.com, on Wednesday (26 / 8), because the small building, then to address it only takes half an address, ie, Bedford st No. 75 1 / 2.

Just imagine, three-story house also has a basement and has only 2.7 meters wide and 12.8 meters long, it has various facilities need a complete household.

Starting from the refrigerator, a bathroom on each floor, gas stove, fireplace and even a small garden at the rear of each floor.

In addition to his unique condition, the house with a red brick wall was found to have their own history.

The house was built in 1800 it was once inhabited by famous people, such as actor Cary Grant and John Barrymore, Pulitzer Prize-winning poet Edna St. Vincent Millay, cartoonist William Steig, and anthropologist Margaret Mead.

History of this house who also driving up the sale price.

In the international business world, Donald Trump is one of the most successful entrepreneurs ever in the 20th century. Besides known to have abundant wealth, Donald Trump is known also as entrepreneurs “Back from the Brink” or “Rising From Ruin chasm”.

How not, when it was the 90′s recession hit the United States. Property business faltered. Falling stock prices. Billionaire Donald Trump, including the right to feel the impact of the crisis, then he has a fortune estimated at U.S. $ 1.7. But in a recession so, his wealth at any time can evaporate without a trace. Moreover, he also had a debt with the Bank to invest in the casino “Taj Mahal” of nearly U.S. $ 1 billion.

Trump pockets situation more difficult because the banks that had been supported also increasingly restless. In 1992 for rescuing a luxury hotel Trump Plaza Hotel, Trump gave 49% of its shares to the banks with some funds on the condition that he remained as Chief Executive even without pay. Trump debt continues to swell, in 1994 had reached U.S. $ 3.5 billion. But with a number of skilled negotiating stance, he could convince the credit provider. Trump survived until the property industry and then recovered.

After struggling with a difficult time for ten years, entered the year 2000 began binis Trump bergeliat again. In 2004 he became a producer for the TV show “The Apprentice” who then sold.

He also founded the Trump University, held a “Miss Universe”, and so forth, which certainly adds koceknya. With these measures continue to increase their wealth. In 2008 and his property was mentioned already reached U.S. $ 3 billion!