Financial Future

The world has repeatedly experienced the crisis. From the beginning only regional to global. Asia, for example, has experienced a crisis in 1997-1998.

This crisis originated from Thailand which although not spread far from East Asia and Southeast Asia. Recovery of the crisis occurred in 1999 and then we saw economic conditions in East and Southeast Asia continue to improve. However, in 2008 the world was a global crisis that started from developed countries are the United States. The whole world felt the impact. East Asian crisis and Southeast Asia in the 1997-1998 financial crisis began with the then spread to the economic crisis. For most of Asia, this economic crisis also spread to the social and political crisis. While the global crisis also began with 2008-2009 financial crisis, followed by the economic crisis. Fortunately, there is no social and political impact of the means.

Now many are saying that the global crisis was over. National income has increased again. However, often said that the new restoration feels for the financial sector. While the economic sector recovery was more sluggish. Even the social impact of the crisis is still felt to this day. In a recent UNDP report (The Global Financial Crisis and the Asia-Pacific Region, 2009) argued that social recovery is usually slower than the economic recovery. Even the social impacts such as low nutrient in children can last forever.

Meanwhile, many people who still worry about this economic recovery. The world’s financial system was the cause of all crises are the same as before the crisis. Financial sector is always growing fast, much faster than production sector growth. Though the financial sector is needed to help the growth of the production sector. Financial sectors like oil for motor vehicles can run well. When the oil is too much, any vehicle will stagger and perhaps even strike. That’s what happens when the financial sector drove rapidly, leaving growth in the production sector. This has repeatedly occurred.

Financial sector growth is remarkable, which is also reflected by the growth of national income, eventually followed by the financial crisis. Even worse, the dynamics of the financial sector is often very dependent on “gossip” among investors in the financial sector. When these investors lose confidence, they trooped to sell their securities. Financial sector to fall and consequently create more confidence in the fall. Bank may fall so that the economy hit resin.

When the confidence of investors to recover, the financial sector also recovered. However, do not automatically recover the production sector. Restoring production sector requires a longer time than just building confidence of investors. Unfortunately, until now we have not managed to regulate the sector controlled by the “rumors” these investors. Would our economy and social sector we are constantly influenced by the gossip these investors? If the rumors they make a mess the financial sector, economic sector apart, and social sectors affected by the old.

If the gossip they improved, improved financial sector, investors again triumphed. However, the sector followed with a slow economy, and social sectors will be followed by much slower again. Without a fundamental change in world financial structure, the same pattern will continue over and over. Financial sector grew rapidly, then the crisis, and recovery occurs. Then the financial sector grew rapidly again, and again the crisis. And so on. With the financial integration and a stronger economy, a crisis will occur even more widespread and profound. The distance from one crisis to another crisis would be shorter.

Financial and economic crisis is feared finally brings social and political crisis. Currently in some countries the property sector has provided heat symptoms. People raced to speculate in the property sector. Inflation in some countries began to worry about a new danger. This all danger signals. The crisis will happen again soon? Volume II global crisis? And, suddenly, last Wednesday (November 25, 2009), Dubai World, a Dubai government owned conglomerate, announced the postponement of payment of their debts.

This indicates this conglomeration of financial difficulties. Suddenly this news makes investors panicked. They raced to sell their securities. Meanwhile, because the date 27 days holiday (Idul Adha), followed by week-end, financial markets are closed and not much information obtained from Dubai. On Sunday (November 29) United Arab Emirates government to try to calm investors by saying that they would help the liquidity of the financial sector in Dubai. This week is the week that counts. We’ll see whether this crisis will remain Dubai in Dubai alone, or be extended to Asia, Europe, and the whole world.

Is this going to be a global crisis of volume II? Hopefully, this crisis can be detained Dubai in Dubai and did not spread everywhere. Whatever the outcome, it seems we should have immediately made the financial arrangements of the new world, which does not rely on gossip investors. We should not have to rush immediately to integrate our financial sector to the world’s financial sectors. We can give an example to regulate the financial sector so as not to grow leaves production sector growth. Financial sector needs to be returned to the original function of helping the growth of the production sector.

Do the financial sector into a separate profit center, regardless of the production sector, as long as this happens, and always produces a crisis. In addition, to guard against the possibility of a global crisis of volume II, either because of crisis Dubai or any other crisis, we need to further consider the domestic economy. Integration of the domestic economy became far more important than any regional integration or global integration. With the dependence on market and major factor in the country, we can reduce the impact of the global crisis on our global economic and social sectors. This Crisis clearly shows that we benefit in two ways.

First, the financial sector, we have not really integrated into the world financial sector. Second, the contribution of our exports is still low.

Dubai Government insists, if not responsible for the debt and the chaos that occurs in Dubai World.

This statement was made following the assumption of debt creditors that the failure of Dubai Wold will receive a guarantee from the United Arab Emirates.

“The lender must share the responsibility for their decisions to lend funds to the company,” said Director General of Dubai Department of Finance Abdulrahman Al-Saleh, was quoted as saying by Reuters on Tuesday (1/12/2009). “They think that Dubai World is part of the government, it is not true,” he added.

In the first statement since the crisis began, Dubai World said, the Dubai government holding company controls it. Any debt restructuring will cost $ 26 billion and mainly affects the property companies, Nakheel and others. However, other companies, such as DP Wolrd, Jebel Ali Free Zone and Istithmar World, will not be included in the restructuring, because they are considered financially stable.

As reported, state-owned Government of Dubai, Dubai World, proposed a debt payment delays resulting shock waves in the global market. The price of shares in Europe and Asia fell, while the United States market (the U.S.) are protected because the closed Thanksgiving Day holiday.

Dubai’s debt crisis has the potential resolved. Abu Dhabi, the neighboring emirates of Dubai in United Arab Emirates federation, is ready to help the debt crisis experienced by Dubai. Only, Abu Dhabi richer states have oil reserves will cover all the debts of Dubai worth USD59 billion.

Commodity prices were to be dropped, including the weakening of oil prices up to five percent. Abu Dhabi become the foundation to help Dubai. Abu Dhabi control 90 percent of oil reserves in the United Arab Emirates, the country’s third largest oil exporter in the world. Abu Dhabi has a sovereign wealth funds (SWF) in the world with a wealth of USD700 billion.

With the number of Abu Dhabi could easily help the difficulties in the field of Dubai property. Constitutionally, each Emirate United Arab Emirates is a separate legal entity, but joined in the federation. Each Emirate has their own control over natural resources and finance. The federal government has no right to access resources or to guarantee the obligations of each Emirate. Trusted, Abu Dhabi would not be willing to cover all debts of Dubai. Abu Dhabi will sort out and will not help that Dubai company take its business model affected the global economic crisis.

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Nowadays people are having the competition to make fast money. Lots of reason why people doing that, to have a better life would be the first reasons of makes the fast money. Lots of them make fast money by having some loans just only to fulfill their needed.

5 quickest way people can make fast money are having good jobs, having payday loans, having lots of properties, trying the online business or even won a lottery. Most of the people nowadays choose to have pay loans day to have cash in their daily, while they will have to make the payment in the end of the month. People choose to have paydays loans because they can get the easiness that they offer to get easy cash right at their accounts. Some of them even do not need to have a good credit card history, because the loans provider will only need their customers to be able to pay the loans. People use the loans usually to pay their bills or even their debts or their unexpected expenses.

With the easiness that some loans providers offer to them, make people choose to have loans better than trying another way to make fast money. They prefer to have the easiness and simple process that they choose to get better than try another way to get the money.

Largest SME bank in the United States, CIT Group finally register on Sunday for bankruptcy protection (1/11/2009). Bankruptcy bank that has received U.S. government bailout fund of U.S. $ 2.33 billion has now become one of the largest in the United States.

CIT was founded in 1908 and made history as one of the banks to the largest segment of SMEs in the U.S.. As the crisis, CIT Group did not escape the shock.

CIT hopes its status as a creditor SME sector could win political support after struggling early this year. But in July, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp refuses to be a guarantor of debt issuance CIT. The Company also had to struggle to find their own funding.

A group of bondholders CIT eventually provide loans of U.S. $ 3 billion in July. The shareholders also agreed to exchange old bonds for U.S. $ 1 billion in new debt.

These measures do give time for the CIT to breathe, though still has not secured debt and maturing in November for U.S. $ 800 million. And more than U.S. $ 3 billion in unsecured debt maturing in late March.

Last week, CIT successfully secured additional funding of U.S. $ 4.5 billion from investors that will help them through the bankruptcy process. Icahn on Friday and have also agreed to provide credit facility of U.S. $ 1 billion.

CIT eventually enroll Chapter 11 protection in Manhattan court for expediting the process of restructuring its debts. Banks that have 101-year-old was reported total assets of U.S. $ 71 billion with liabilities of U.S. $ 65 billion, which was recorded as one of the largest bankruptcy record.

Here’s a list of 20 largest U.S. bankruptcy following its asset value since 1980, who quoted from the AFP, Monday (2/11/2009).

1. Lehman Brother (banks), 15 September 2008, U.S. $ 691 billion
2. Washington Mutual (the bank), 26 September 2008, U.S. $ 327.9 billion.
3. WorldCom (telecommunications), July 21, 2008, U.S. $ 103.9 billion.
4. General Motors (automotive), June 1, 2009, U.S. $ 91 billion.
5. CIT (bank loans), 1 November 2009, U.S. $ 71 billion.
6. Enron (energy trading), December 2, 2001, U.S. $ 65.5 billion.
7. Conseco (insurance), December 17, 2002, U.S. $ 61.4 billion.
8. Chrysler (automotive), April 30, 2009, U.S. $ 39.3 billion.
9. Pacific Gas and Elctric (utility), 6 April 2001, U.S. $ 36.1 billion
10. Texaco (oil), 21 April 1987, U.S. $ 34.9 billion.
11. Financial Corporation of America (the bank), 9 Seotember 1988, U.S. $ 33.8 billion.
12. Refco (trade), October 17, 2005, U.S. $ 33.3 billion.
13. IndyMac (bank), July 31, 2008, U.S. $ 32.7 billion.
14. Global Crossing (telecommunications), January 28, 2002, U.S. $ 30.1 billion.
15. The Bank of New England (bank), January 7, 1991, U.S. $ 29.7 billion.
16. Lyondell (chemistry), January 6, 2009, U.S. $ 27.4 billion.
17. Calpone (electric company), December 20, 2005, U.S. $ 27.2 billion.
18. New Century Financial Corporatuon (trade), 2 April 2007, U.S. $ 26.1 billion.
19. United Airlines (airline), December 9, 2002, U.S. $ 25.2 billion.
20. Colonial Bank (bank), August 14, 2009, U.S. $ 25 billion.